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Risk Assessment

Risk Assessment evaluates the data collected and provides the risk information necessary to assist in decision-making at remedial sites.  The risk assessment provides the information necessary to justify action (or no action) at a site and to select the best remedy for the site.  The risk assessment includes characterization of the contaminants, the potential exposures, and the potentially exposed populations to determine what risks need to be reduced or eliminated and what exposures need to be prevented.  A conceptual site model is used to evaluate the potential contaminant transport pathways and potential pathways by which humans could be exposed to site contamination.

A baseline Human Health Risk Assessment (HHRA) is conducted to evaluate the potential human health risks associated with the presence of contaminants in surface and subsurface soil, surface water, sediment, and groundwater at a site. The HHRA characterizes current and potential future human health risks at a site if no additional remediation were to be implemented. Health risks are based on a conservative estimate of the potential carcinogenic (cancer) risk or the potential to cause other health effects not related to cancer (noncarcinogenic risk). A Hazard Quotient (HQ) is calculated for a given constituent, and the total noncarcinogenic risk is calculated as the sum of all HQs, and is called a Hazard Index (HI).

Health risk levels, determined using USEPA guidance to ensure that conservative estimates of potential health effects were obtained, differ depending on the assumed land use. This is because potential human exposure to contamination differs with land use. A conservative estimate of risk is developed incorporating potential exposure scenarios; construction workers, maintenance workers, on-site recreational users, full-time employees, adolescent trespassers, adult recreational users, and future on-site residents who may be exposed to media at the site.

An Ecological Risk Assessment (ERA) is used to evaluate ecological risks associated with the presence of contaminants in soil, surface water, sediment, and groundwater. As with a HHRA, summary HQs are also used to evaluate ecological risks; below a HQ of 1, adverse effects to ecological receptors are not expected. Risks are evaluated for terrestrial habitats (in relation to the surface) and for aquatic habitats (in the surface water bodies) that may be impacted from discharges of site-related contaminants. The ERA also considered the following factors when evaluating and interpreting the risk results: inorganic constituent concentrations in site soils compared to those in reference samples; chemical bioavailability in sediment; chemical distribution in site soil and sediment; influence of grain size and total organic carbon (TOC) on chemical distribution in sediment; potential chemical sources to site drainage; and potential risks to ecological receptors.